Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kampf shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.6% vs Kampf 52.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kampf 50.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
McDavid
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McDavid
Kampf
Last 6: McDavid 1-5 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
0
2
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
0
2
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (540)
54.6% (381)
-8.3%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
25.0% (8)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
45.6% (68)
+7.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. McDavid is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
McDavid shoots left. Kampf is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kampf
Home
49.8% (325)
57.1% (212)
Away
44.6% (316)
49.0% (245)
By Period
McDavid
Kampf
P1
46.2%
50.7%
P2
48.6%
56.7%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.3%
Kampf
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | David Kampf |