Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Stepan 54.8% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
McDavid
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
54.5% (374)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
0.0% (2)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
64.7% (68)
-31.4%
On power play, McDavid has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
McDavid
Stepan
Home
53.6% (507)
54.5% (222)
Away
53.8% (539)
57.2% (222)
By Period
McDavid
Stepan
P1
52.6%
57.5%
P2
54.1%
54.7%
P3
54.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
53.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%