Connor McDavid vs Derick Brassard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Brassard 49.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 58.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 53.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
McDavid
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
McDavid
Brassard
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
4
McDavid
Brassard
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
48.7% (8,464)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
52.3% (1,260)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
50.3% (179)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
McDavid
Brassard
Home
49.3% (4,582)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
McDavid
Brassard
P1
46.5%
49.0%
P2
48.7%
49.8%
P3
48.3%
48.4%
OT
42.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |