Scouting Report
Eric Fehr holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Fehr 49.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.6%
Defensive zone
Fehr 74.9%
Neutral zone
Fehr 56.5%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
McDavid
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McDavid
Fehr
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Fehr
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Fehr
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Fehr
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
49.9% (2,151)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
60.0% (45)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
47.1% (342)
-3.3%
On power play, Fehr has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Fehr is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,676).
Home / Away
McDavid
Fehr
Home
49.3% (4,582)
50.4% (1,276)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
49.0% (1,262)
By Period
McDavid
Fehr
P1
46.5%
45.9%
P2
48.7%
53.1%
P3
48.3%
49.8%
OT
42.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |