Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Malkin 46.1% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McDavid
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
45.7% (219)
+2.0%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
34.6% (26)
+14.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
50.0% (412)
50.4% (113)
Away
45.7% (394)
39.4% (132)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
48.0%
47.7%
P2
48.5%
44.9%
P3
47.1%
40.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%