Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Chytil 42.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 88.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 87.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
McDavid
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
McDavid
Chytil
Last 9: McDavid 8-1 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Chytil
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Chytil
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Chytil
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
42.1% (2,535)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
42.2% (206)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
37.5% (24)
+6.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Home / Away
McDavid
Chytil
Home
49.3% (4,582)
42.8% (1,337)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
41.4% (1,428)
By Period
McDavid
Chytil
P1
46.5%
40.8%
P2
48.7%
43.8%
P3
48.3%
41.4%
OT
42.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |