Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jason Dickinson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 48.1% vs Dickinson 49.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone McDavid 82.2%
Defensive zone Dickinson 70.6%
Neutral zone McDavid 58.0%
Result Jason Dickinson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
McDavid Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
McDavid Dickinson
Last 9: McDavid 3-6 Dickinson

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
4
McDavid Dickinson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
51.9% (670)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
66.7% (9)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
39.1% (156)
+9.8%
On power play, Dickinson has a +17.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dickinson
Home
50.0% (412)
48.7% (431)
Away
45.7% (394)
50.7% (404)
By Period
McDavid
Dickinson
P1
48.0%
43.4%
P2
48.5%
54.9%
P3
47.1%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.9%
Dickinson
54.0%
50.5%
49.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 12, 2026 3 14:46 Neutral Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 3 08:29 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026 3 03:53 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 14:08 Defensive Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 08:30 Defensive Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 00:09 Neutral Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Jason Dickinson