Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.7%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Dickinson 47.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 42-27 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 68.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
McDavid
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
27
(69 meetings)
42
27
McDavid
Dickinson
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
19
4
McDavid
Dickinson
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
6
McDavid
Dickinson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
15
17
McDavid
Dickinson
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
49.0% (4,390)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
51.1% (141)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
40.6% (890)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,470).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dickinson
Home
49.3% (4,582)
49.3% (2,791)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
46.0% (2,630)
By Period
McDavid
Dickinson
P1
46.5%
47.0%
P2
48.7%
48.2%
P3
48.3%
47.7%
OT
42.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |