Connor McDavid vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Ek 49.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 58.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 57.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
McDavid
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
McDavid
Ek
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
5
McDavid
Ek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
Ek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
48.1% (858)
-0.4%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
53.3% (272)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
47.9% (188)
+1.0%
On power play, Ek has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ek
Home
50.0% (412)
49.9% (693)
Away
45.7% (394)
48.3% (625)
By Period
McDavid
Ek
P1
48.0%
47.4%
P2
48.5%
53.1%
P3
47.1%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |