Connor McDavid vs Jordan Martinook
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Martinook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Martinook 47.9% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
McDavid
Martinook
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
48.2% (56)
-0.5%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
100.0% (1)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
20.0% (10)
+28.9%
On power play, Martinook has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Martinook is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
McDavid
Martinook
Home
50.0% (412)
47.1% (34)
Away
45.7% (394)
42.4% (33)
By Period
McDavid
Martinook
P1
48.0%
33.3%
P2
48.5%
65.0%
P3
47.1%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.8%