Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
McDavid
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
McDavid
Lehtera
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Lehtera
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
5
McDavid
Lehtera
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
50.4% (2,714)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
55.8% (339)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
41.3% (104)
+2.5%
On power play, Lehtera has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lehtera
Home
49.3% (4,582)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
McDavid
Lehtera
P1
46.5%
53.2%
P2
48.7%
50.6%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
42.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |