Connor McDavid vs Logan Couture
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.3%). Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Couture 48.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 40-39 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 60.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 52.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
McDavid
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
39
(79 meetings)
40
39
McDavid
Couture
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
12
7
McDavid
Couture
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
12
McDavid
Couture
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
24
20
McDavid
Couture
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
48.8% (8,919)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
54.6% (624)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
39.8% (992)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couture
Home
49.3% (4,582)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
McDavid
Couture
P1
46.5%
47.9%
P2
48.7%
47.9%
P3
48.3%
49.2%
OT
42.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |