Connor McDavid vs Lucas Wallmark
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.9%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 52.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McDavid
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
McDavid
Wallmark
Last 8: McDavid 1-7 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
3
McDavid
Wallmark
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
3
McDavid
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
50.5% (1,852)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
56.3% (103)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
44.9% (216)
-1.1%
On power play, Wallmark has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
McDavid
Wallmark
Home
49.3% (4,582)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
McDavid
Wallmark
P1
46.5%
51.4%
P2
48.7%
50.8%
P3
48.3%
48.7%
OT
42.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |