Connor McDavid vs Mark Scheifele

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 46 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor Scheifele leads 78-78 in 156 meetings
Offensive zone Scheifele 50.5%
Defensive zone McDavid 57.3%
Neutral zone McDavid 53.0%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
McDavid Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
78 - 78 (156 meetings)
78
78
McDavid Scheifele
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Scheifele

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
22
25
McDavid Scheifele
47 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
27
19
McDavid Scheifele
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
29
34
McDavid Scheifele
63 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
46.3% (12,077)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
50.2% (2,576)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
41.6% (598)
+2.2%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Home / Away
McDavid
Scheifele
Home
49.3% (4,582)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
McDavid
Scheifele
P1
46.5%
48.2%
P2
48.7%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
46.8%
OT
42.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%
Scheifele
44.0%
54.0%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2026 2 19:00 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Jan 8, 2026 1 14:31 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 29, 2025 3 13:52 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 6, 2025 2 06:04 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 6, 2025 2 04:12 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Dec 6, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 2 04:37 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 2 01:05 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 2 00:54 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 1 18:35 Neutral Mark Scheifele
Mar 26, 2024 1 13:05 Defensive Mark Scheifele
Nov 30, 2023 3 07:13 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 30, 2023 2 09:50 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 21, 2023 3 15:06 Defensive Connor McDavid
Oct 21, 2023 3 10:24 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Oct 21, 2023 3 00:37 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Oct 21, 2023 2 05:25 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 21, 2023 2 03:33 Defensive Connor McDavid
Oct 21, 2023 2 01:16 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 3, 2023 3 14:12 Defensive Connor McDavid