Connor McDavid vs Matty Beniers
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Beniers 46.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 30-21 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 60.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 61.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
McDavid
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
30
(51 meetings)
21
30
McDavid
Beniers
Last 10: McDavid 1-9 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
7
9
McDavid
Beniers
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
6
8
McDavid
Beniers
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
8
13
McDavid
Beniers
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
46.5% (3,825)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
47.8% (360)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
41.4% (111)
+2.4%
On power play, McDavid has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Home / Away
McDavid
Beniers
Home
49.3% (4,582)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
McDavid
Beniers
P1
46.5%
47.2%
P2
48.7%
47.0%
P3
48.3%
45.7%
OT
42.2%
34.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |