Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Domi 50.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
McDavid
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
49.7% (394)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
51.7% (58)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
McDavid
Domi
Home
51.8% (415)
53.2% (235)
Away
50.4% (450)
46.5% (217)
By Period
McDavid
Domi
P1
47.5%
54.4%
P2
51.6%
46.6%
P3
55.5%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |