Connor McDavid vs Michael Chaput
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.7% vs Chaput 51.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.5%
Defensive zone
Chaput 56.6%
Neutral zone
Chaput 52.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
McDavid
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McDavid
Chaput
Last 9: McDavid 4-5 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Chaput
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
2
McDavid
Chaput
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (8,248)
52.2% (1,168)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.8% (362)
42.9% (14)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (274)
42.9% (70)
+1.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,803).
McDavid shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
McDavid
Chaput
Home
49.3% (4,495)
53.5% (602)
Away
46.1% (4,389)
49.8% (650)
By Period
McDavid
Chaput
P1
46.4%
48.6%
P2
48.7%
51.6%
P3
48.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |