Connor McDavid vs Michael McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs McLeod 58.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 85.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 69.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
McDavid
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
McDavid
McLeod
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
1
McDavid
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
7
McDavid
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
59.2% (2,894)
-11.5%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
57.4% (101)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
53.5% (525)
-9.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
McDavid
McLeod
Home
49.3% (4,582)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
McDavid
McLeod
P1
46.5%
58.7%
P2
48.7%
59.9%
P3
48.3%
56.3%
OT
42.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |