Connor McDavid vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 54-48 in 102 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
McDavid
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
54
(102 meetings)
48
54
McDavid
Zibanejad
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
15
11
McDavid
Zibanejad
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
8
14
McDavid
Zibanejad
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
25
29
McDavid
Zibanejad
54 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
50.9% (11,756)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
52.2% (1,852)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
41.6% (1,796)
+2.2%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
McDavid
Zibanejad
Home
49.3% (4,582)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
McDavid
Zibanejad
P1
46.5%
50.4%
P2
48.7%
49.7%
P3
48.3%
49.9%
OT
42.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |