Connor McDavid vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.6%). Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Granlund 48.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 51.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
McDavid
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
27
(52 meetings)
25
27
McDavid
Granlund
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
6
7
McDavid
Granlund
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
10
9
McDavid
Granlund
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
9
11
McDavid
Granlund
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
48.6% (6,765)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
53.0% (760)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
43.6% (635)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
McDavid
Granlund
Home
49.3% (4,582)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
McDavid
Granlund
P1
46.5%
48.8%
P2
48.7%
48.7%
P3
48.3%
48.5%
OT
42.2%
43.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |