Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 77.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 62.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
McDavid
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Ribeiro
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
42.9% (4,887)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
45.6% (930)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
33.3% (147)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ribeiro
Home
49.3% (4,582)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
McDavid
Ribeiro
P1
46.5%
42.6%
P2
48.7%
44.3%
P3
48.3%
41.8%
OT
42.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |