Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 73.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McDavid
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
51.9% (547)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
54.1% (37)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
53.3% (92)
-4.4%
On power play, Roy has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
McDavid
Roy
Home
50.0% (412)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.7% (394)
50.6% (348)
By Period
McDavid
Roy
P1
48.0%
53.5%
P2
48.5%
51.6%
P3
47.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%