Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kapanen 47.4% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
McDavid
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
44.4% (45)
+3.3%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
36.4% (11)
+15.5%
On power play, McDavid has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kapanen
Home
47.3% (387)
39.4% (33)
Away
48.1% (389)
47.8% (23)
By Period
McDavid
Kapanen
P1
47.6%
42.9%
P2
50.0%
40.0%
P3
45.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%