Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.5%). McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Dubois 48.9% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dubois 52.7%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McDavid
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
44.8% (259)
+2.9%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
70.6% (34)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
75.0% (8)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
50.0% (412)
46.6% (163)
Away
45.7% (394)
50.7% (138)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
48.0%
44.0%
P2
48.5%
51.5%
P3
47.1%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%