Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.9%). McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Suter 48.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.4%
Defensive zone
Suter 57.3%
Neutral zone
Suter 50.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
McDavid
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McDavid
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
49.7% (372)
-2.0%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
47.4% (19)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
39.8% (83)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suter
Home
50.0% (412)
47.1% (242)
Away
45.7% (394)
48.7% (232)
By Period
McDavid
Suter
P1
48.0%
48.2%
P2
48.5%
47.7%
P3
47.1%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |