Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 54.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 71.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 65.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
McDavid
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
McDavid
Getzlaf
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
Getzlaf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
3
McDavid
Getzlaf
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
McDavid
Getzlaf
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
49.6% (10,258)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
54.9% (1,381)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
44.8% (1,055)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
McDavid
Getzlaf
Home
49.3% (4,582)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
McDavid
Getzlaf
P1
46.5%
49.2%
P2
48.7%
50.4%
P3
48.3%
49.7%
OT
42.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |