Connor McDavid vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 46-37 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 68.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 65.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 68.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
McDavid
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
46
(83 meetings)
37
46
McDavid
Johansen
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
11
McDavid
Johansen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
14
14
McDavid
Johansen
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
20
21
McDavid
Johansen
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (8,248)
53.1% (11,017)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.8% (362)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (274)
50.5% (978)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,081).
McDavid shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
McDavid
Johansen
Home
49.3% (4,495)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
46.1% (4,389)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
McDavid
Johansen
P1
46.4%
53.2%
P2
48.7%
53.9%
P3
48.3%
52.8%
OT
40.9%
58.2%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |