Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McDavid
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
39.0% (77)
+8.7%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
35.4% (48)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
40.9% (22)
+8.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
50.0% (412)
35.7% (84)
Away
45.7% (394)
41.3% (63)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
48.0%
42.6%
P2
48.5%
34.7%
P3
47.1%
37.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%