Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Laughton 55.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.3%
Defensive zone
Laughton 83.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 51.4%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
54.5% (488)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
85.7% (7)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
63.4% (142)
-14.5%
On power play, Laughton has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
50.0% (412)
57.5% (275)
Away
45.7% (394)
56.4% (362)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
48.0%
56.0%
P2
48.5%
61.8%
P3
47.1%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |