Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.5%). McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Blueger 48.1% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 70.2%
Neutral zone
Blueger 54.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McDavid
Blueger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
49.4% (265)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
66.7% (9)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
34.0% (50)
+14.9%
On power play, Blueger has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
McDavid
Blueger
Home
50.0% (412)
49.8% (215)
Away
45.7% (394)
43.1% (109)
By Period
McDavid
Blueger
P1
48.0%
46.4%
P2
48.5%
50.4%
P3
47.1%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%