Connor McDavid vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 59.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
McDavid
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
58.0% (666)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
64.8% (165)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
43.4% (152)
+5.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
McDavid
Trocheck
Home
50.0% (412)
55.3% (436)
Away
45.7% (394)
58.1% (547)
By Period
McDavid
Trocheck
P1
48.0%
56.4%
P2
48.5%
58.7%
P3
47.1%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%