Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Cozens 53.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 67.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
McMichael
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
McMichael
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
53.2% (634)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
57.7% (97)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
33.3% (6)
+5.7%
On even strength, Cozens has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
McMichael
Cozens
Home
43.0% (298)
54.8% (383)
Away
42.6% (270)
52.3% (354)
By Period
McMichael
Cozens
P1
46.6%
56.0%
P2
40.8%
51.2%
P3
41.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
43.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |