Connor McMichael vs Ivan Barbashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Barbashev 40.8% (+19.7%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 67.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 69.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 54.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McMichael
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
20.0% (45)
+22.9%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
42.9% (7)
+6.2%
On even strength, McMichael has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
McMichael
Barbashev
Home
43.0% (298)
23.1% (26)
Away
42.6% (270)
23.1% (26)
By Period
McMichael
Barbashev
P1
46.6%
36.4%
P2
40.8%
6.7%
P3
41.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%