Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Norris 49.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 80.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 57.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 67.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
McMichael
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
50.5% (388)
-7.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
47.6% (84)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
42.9% (7)
-3.9%
On even strength, Norris has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
McMichael
Norris
Home
43.0% (298)
48.1% (233)
Away
42.6% (270)
51.6% (246)
By Period
McMichael
Norris
P1
46.6%
53.1%
P2
40.8%
49.2%
P3
41.8%
48.4%
Final 5 min
43.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |