Connor McMichael vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 93.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 78.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 85.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
McMichael
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
McMichael
Stenlund
Last 8: McMichael 1-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
McMichael
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
McMichael
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
McMichael
Stenlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
55.3% (2,738)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
52.6% (116)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
50.4% (924)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. McMichael is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (637).
McMichael shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stenlund
Home
42.6% (976)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
43.3% (922)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
McMichael
Stenlund
P1
43.3%
56.2%
P2
43.1%
53.3%
P3
42.1%
53.0%
OT
75.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | OT | 02:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |