Connor McMichael vs Leo Carlsson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McMichael holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.3% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor McMichael leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 67.4%
Defensive zone McMichael 68.7%
Neutral zone McMichael 64.1%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
McMichael Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11 - 2 (13 meetings)
11
2
McMichael Carlsson
Last 10: McMichael 9-1 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
5
1
McMichael Carlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
5
0
McMichael Carlsson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
40.9% (1,878)
+2.4%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
42.9% (156)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
34.7% (121)
+2.8%
On power play, McMichael has a +3.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
McMichael
Carlsson
Home
42.6% (976)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
43.3% (922)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
McMichael
Carlsson
P1
43.3%
43.3%
P2
43.1%
36.2%
P3
42.1%
43.3%
OT
75.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
39.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%
45.0%
42.9%
Carlsson
32.0%
39.0%
40.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 5, 2026 3 10:13 Defensive Connor McMichael
Jan 5, 2026 3 07:38 Defensive Connor McMichael
Jan 5, 2026 2 13:57 Defensive Connor McMichael
Jan 5, 2026 1 18:41 Offensive Connor McMichael
Dec 5, 2025 3 19:09 Defensive Connor McMichael
Jan 16, 2024 3 14:43 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Jan 16, 2024 3 10:15 Neutral Connor McMichael
Jan 16, 2024 2 00:43 Neutral Connor McMichael
Jan 16, 2024 1 13:19 Neutral Connor McMichael
Jan 16, 2024 1 13:08 Neutral Connor McMichael
Jan 16, 2024 1 09:14 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 30, 2023 3 03:12 Defensive Connor McMichael
Nov 30, 2023 1 18:59 Neutral Connor McMichael