Connor McMichael vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Celebrini 48.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 70.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 73.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 69.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
McMichael
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McMichael
Celebrini
Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
2
McMichael
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
McMichael
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
3
McMichael
Celebrini
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
47.5% (1,894)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
54.4% (250)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
55.6% (36)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Home / Away
McMichael
Celebrini
Home
42.6% (976)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
43.3% (922)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
McMichael
Celebrini
P1
43.3%
47.4%
P2
43.1%
46.6%
P3
42.1%
51.4%
OT
75.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
42.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |