Connor McMichael vs Nick Bonino
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 74.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 93.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 90.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 90.9%
9.1%
90.9%
McMichael
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
McMichael
Bonino
Last 10: McMichael 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
McMichael
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
6
1
McMichael
Bonino
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
50.6% (8,315)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
54.1% (972)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
44.6% (1,693)
-7.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
McMichael
Bonino
Home
42.6% (976)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
43.3% (922)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
McMichael
Bonino
P1
43.3%
50.6%
P2
43.1%
48.5%
P3
42.1%
51.1%
OT
75.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |