Connor McMichael vs Nico Hischier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Hischier 55.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 80.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 70.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
McMichael
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McMichael
Hischier
Last 7: McMichael 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
McMichael
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
55.5% (1,172)
-12.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
64.5% (265)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
43.9% (164)
-4.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hischier
Home
43.0% (298)
56.8% (791)
Away
42.6% (270)
54.8% (810)
By Period
McMichael
Hischier
P1
46.6%
56.0%
P2
40.8%
58.6%
P3
41.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |