Connor McMichael vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Danault 54.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 74.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 81.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 75.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
McMichael
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Danault
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
McMichael
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
McMichael
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
56.2% (745)
-13.3%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
45.1% (51)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
51.6% (124)
-12.6%
On even strength, Danault has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
McMichael
Danault
Home
43.0% (298)
56.7% (402)
Away
42.6% (270)
53.7% (518)
By Period
McMichael
Danault
P1
46.6%
55.5%
P2
40.8%
54.2%
P3
41.8%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |