Connor McMichael vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs McLeod 49.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 78.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 84.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 78.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
McMichael
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
McMichael
McLeod
Last 10: McMichael 1-9 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
5
McMichael
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McMichael
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
McMichael
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
50.4% (3,376)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
50.7% (296)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
44.1% (644)
-6.6%
On even strength, McLeod has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
McMichael
McLeod
Home
42.6% (976)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
43.3% (922)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
McMichael
McLeod
P1
43.3%
50.8%
P2
43.1%
48.0%
P3
42.1%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |