Connor McMichael vs Sean Monahan

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Monahan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.9% vs Monahan 52.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor Monahan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 60.7%
Defensive zone McMichael 64.8%
Neutral zone McMichael 62.3%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
McMichael Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 7 (11 meetings)
4
7
McMichael Monahan
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Monahan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
McMichael Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McMichael Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael Monahan
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
53.0% (874)
-10.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
54.7% (161)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
47.5% (101)
-8.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
McMichael
Monahan
Home
43.0% (298)
53.8% (558)
Away
42.6% (270)
51.7% (578)
By Period
McMichael
Monahan
P1
46.6%
49.5%
P2
40.8%
54.8%
P3
41.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
43.3%
53.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%
45.0%
42.8%
Monahan
40.0%
51.0%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 7, 2025 3 00:59 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 3 13:28 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 2 01:32 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 1 12:55 Offensive Connor McMichael
Nov 24, 2025 1 06:05 Neutral Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 1 02:33 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 3 10:47 Offensive Sean Monahan
Oct 24, 2025 2 19:13 Neutral Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 2 04:15 Offensive Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 2 01:03 Offensive Sean Monahan