Connor McMichael vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 89.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 50.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 75.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 89.1%
10.9%
89.1%
McMichael
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
57.1% (368)
-14.2%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.2% (96)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
50.0% (10)
-11.0%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stamkos
Home
43.0% (298)
53.9% (230)
Away
42.6% (270)
59.0% (244)
By Period
McMichael
Stamkos
P1
46.6%
56.7%
P2
40.8%
54.1%
P3
41.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
43.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |