Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Smith 44.4% (+14.4%)
Offensive zone
Smith 60.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 71.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 51.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
McMichael
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
32.3% (31)
+10.5%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
0.0% (4)
+51.0%
On power play, McMichael has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. McMichael is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McMichael shoots left. Smith is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
McMichael
Smith
Home
43.4% (267)
26.7% (15)
Away
42.5% (221)
30.0% (20)
By Period
McMichael
Smith
P1
46.2%
27.3%
P2
41.3%
33.3%
P3
42.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
28.6%