Connor Zary vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 72.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 73.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Zary
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zary
Gaudreau
Last 5: Zary 2-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Zary
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
48.6% (3,770)
-6.8%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
53.9% (219)
-17.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Home / Away
Zary
Gaudreau
Home
41.3% (293)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
41.0% (212)
47.8% (2,345)
By Period
Zary
Gaudreau
P1
40.4%
49.7%
P2
38.6%
47.3%
P3
45.2%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
35.5%
Final 5 min
34.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Connor Zary |