Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Compher 51.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 51.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 65.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Zary
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
53.1% (784)
-6.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
54.8% (31)
-23.2%
On power play, Compher has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Zary
Compher
Home
45.6% (79)
51.3% (452)
Away
44.7% (76)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Zary
Compher
P1
48.3%
54.9%
P2
46.3%
49.0%
P3
39.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Connor Zary |