Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Hughes 39.5% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.8%
Defensive zone
Zary 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.8%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Zary
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
36.7% (305)
+10.4%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
14.3% (7)
+17.3%
On power play, Zary has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Zary
Hughes
Home
45.6% (79)
35.8% (159)
Away
44.7% (76)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Zary
Hughes
P1
48.3%
42.3%
P2
46.3%
28.2%
P3
39.5%
37.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%