Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — DeBrusk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs DeBrusk 47.7% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
DeBrusk 54.6%
Defensive zone
Zary 57.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.6%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Zary
DeBrusk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
DeBrusk
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
44.4% (18)
+2.7%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
50.0% (8)
-18.4%
On power play, DeBrusk has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
DeBrusk shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. DeBrusk is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Zary
DeBrusk
Home
45.6% (79)
44.4% (9)
Away
44.7% (76)
38.1% (21)
By Period
Zary
DeBrusk
P1
48.3%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
36.4%
P3
39.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
DeBrusk
44.0%▲
33.5%
40.0%