Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Zary
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
45.0% (695)
+2.1%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
46.4% (84)
-14.8%
On power play, Carlsson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Zary
Carlsson
Home
45.6% (79)
42.5% (435)
Away
44.7% (76)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Zary
Carlsson
P1
48.3%
45.3%
P2
46.3%
38.7%
P3
39.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%