Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs McCarron 52.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 78.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Zary
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Zary
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
52.8% (697)
-5.7%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
18.2% (11)
+13.4%
On power play, Zary has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Zary
McCarron
Home
45.6% (79)
52.8% (477)
Away
44.7% (76)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Zary
McCarron
P1
48.3%
56.2%
P2
46.3%
52.4%
P3
39.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |